A-L-E-X wrote:Source of the post Wat, did you see the interview where Fauci said that we're going to find that a lot more people died from this than we know about so far? I tend to agree. Statistics bear this out too.
I did not see the interview, but yes. This should not come as a surprise, especially for those who are following the deaths above normal data and knowing the limitations of those data. Furthermore, the public health interventions and reduced travel have significantly reduced the severity of flu this year, so there have been fewer flu deaths. That implies that 'deaths above normal' is underestimating the number of deaths due to COVID-19 even more.
A recent study by IHME concludes the actual number of COVID-19 deaths worldwide may be around 7 million (about 1 or 2 million more than I had expected), and in the US they estimate it is around 900,000. I actually found these estimates surprisingly high, but their methodology is essentially the same as what I would have done if I were to put in the effort of making my earlier reasoning rigorous. At the very least, it supports my suspicion that the true toll globally is as much as a factor of 2 higher than the official figure.