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by Watsisname
20 May 2021 04:18
Forum: Off-topic Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
Replies: 365
Views: 60905

Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread

36516 Maybe, as in suggesting that covid in countries with negative excess deaths makes people healthier. There is very little flu this year thanks to the travel and pandemic restrictions. So it's not hard for a country to have negative excess deaths even despite some COVID-19 deaths.  (Some have a...
by Watsisname
19 May 2021 02:08
Forum: Off-topic Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
Replies: 365
Views: 60905

Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread

36500 The only reason for vaccine cards is to help citizens who need the documentation in order to be allowed entry in other countries where it might be required. Completely agree, although I also believe vaccinations should be (and already are) required for certain activities in society. You canno...
by Watsisname
16 May 2021 05:48
Forum: Off-topic Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
Replies: 365
Views: 60905

Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread

In Washington state as of April 14th, there were 217 known cases of "vaccine breakthrough", where a fully vaccinated person later became infected and tested positive for COVID-19. (This is about 0.01% of all who have been vaccinated in the state to that date.) Of those 217 people, 20 were...
by Watsisname
16 May 2021 05:12
Forum: Off-topic Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
Replies: 365
Views: 60905

Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread

36483 8 people on their team caught the virus even though they were all fully vaccinated, the good thing is only 1 exhibited any symptoms and those were mild.  Even weirder, one of the players had already had the infection, was fully vaccinated and then got the infection again!  What are the chance...
by Watsisname
15 May 2021 18:35
Forum: Off-topic Discussions
Topic: Unusual weather
Replies: 394
Views: 120746

Unusual weather

Caught another ice halo display the other day. Nowhere near as good as the  pyramidal crystal display  here last summer, but this is probably the best so far this year. 22° halo with faint upper tangent arc and parhelia (sundogs) https://i.imgur.com/N0UM7LW.jpg Much brighter and golden lower...
by Watsisname
15 May 2021 15:17
Forum: Off-topic Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
Replies: 365
Views: 60905

Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread

So the CDC just relaxed its mask guidance for vaccinated people, both indoors and outdoors. The scientific reasoning behind it sounds good, but the policy is terrible in practice. The main motivation seems to be to act as an incentive for more people to get vaccinated. Which we desperately need, but...
by Watsisname
10 May 2021 00:19
Forum: Off-topic Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
Replies: 365
Views: 60905

Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread

By the way, this problem of communication about mask usage is now extending into how people behave after being vaccinated. Vaccines protect the individual very well against infection, but it is not 100% -- not even for serious illness or death. The level of protection also varies between the differe...
by Watsisname
10 May 2021 00:02
Forum: Off-topic Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
Replies: 365
Views: 60905

Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread

36462 If the emphasis had been "avoid places indoors with many people" rather than "wear masks", wouldn't it be more effective?  I tend to think that the received message has been "when I'm wearing a mask, I can do things pretty much as normal". I would rather not emph...
by Watsisname
09 May 2021 20:47
Forum: Off-topic Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
Replies: 365
Views: 60905

Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread

36460 Wat, did you see the interview where Fauci said that we're going to find that a lot more people died from this than we know about so far?  I tend to agree.  Statistics bear this out too. I did not see the interview, but yes. This should not come as a surprise, especially for those who are fol...
by Watsisname
09 May 2021 15:17
Forum: Off-topic Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
Replies: 365
Views: 60905

Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread

36458 I dont understand why it took them so long to acknowledge this... Indeed, it was known and should have been acknowledged a year ago (actually it was  briefly acknowledged and then retracted last summer). On the SE Discord  I had mentioned how I thought that the CDC language regarding transmis...
by Watsisname
03 May 2021 03:45
Forum: Off-topic Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
Replies: 365
Views: 60905

Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread

36423 this oscillating scenario sounds very similar to rabbit population booms. Yes, similar effect.  In the predator-prey example, more prey means more food for predators, so the number of predators increases. Then when there are many predators, the prey get eaten up more quickly than they can rep...
by Watsisname
02 May 2021 05:09
Forum: Off-topic Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
Replies: 365
Views: 60905

Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread

Since the NYTimes deaths above normal page doesn't seem to be updating anymore (last update was February 9th), I've looked for others. The Economist has a nice one: https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-deaths-tracker Of the countries listed, Russia appears to have the largest ...
by Watsisname
01 May 2021 02:10
Forum: Off-topic Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
Replies: 365
Views: 60905

Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread

36389 My other point was, if we understand so well how these viruses spread, why do we have these large waves?  Most have been living with restrictions for more than a year, and we can hardly explain those waves by assuming that there were times when people simply ignored the restrictions and recom...
by Watsisname
28 Apr 2021 00:45
Forum: Off-topic Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
Replies: 365
Views: 60905

Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread

36381 What if this virus' preferred way of transmission is not through big droplets, but the tiny airborne droplets?  Well, this has been a matter of quite some study for quite some time.  Example. It is carried on respiratory droplets, and these droplets come with a distribution of sizes. There ar...
by Watsisname
23 Apr 2021 02:04
Forum: Off-topic Discussions
Topic: Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread
Replies: 365
Views: 60905

Coronavirus (COVID-19) Thread

Parts of India are now looking like NYC at its peak, except they are even less well equipped to handle the load. Hospitals are at the breaking point, oxygen supplies are severely limited, and crematoriums are completely overwhelmed with bodies backed up for days. The rate of death is likely to be fa...