A-L-E-X wrote:
Instead of asking if certain weather events in a particular year are attributable to climate change, it is better to ask if climate change affects the expected frequency, severity, and distribution of those weather events. Climate change is known to cause more high precipitation events, but that doesn't mean this particular year is unusually wet because of climate change.
I like this analogy. Imagine a baseball player just started to take performance enhancing drugs. In their next game they hit a home run. Did the drugs cause them to hit that home run? Or would they have hit that particular home run anyway? It is not an answerable question. Instead what we can do is a statistical analysis of many plays to see if there is an effect on batting average.
A-L-E-X wrote:Source of the post Also, just for fun, what kind of extreme cyclone would it take to actually form a black hole?!
No cyclone ever could. Not because one could never be extreme enough, but because they don't do the right thing. A cyclone is basically an engine that moves air around -- drawing it in near the surface toward a surface low, and then shunting it upward and outward (high pressure aloft). But it doesn't concentrate material anywhere, which is what you need to make a black hole.